Fuck me…. Does the current batch of Central Bank leaders really have a clue about what is going on in the real world? Because they seem very content to manage firefighting scenarios in the limelight on TV but actually appear to do little on proactive management of their areas of responsibility. Let me elaborate here… […]

That was some week… Without doubt we are in a “CRISIS” not just a BANK CRISIS but a HIGH-RISK EVENT CRISIS. The simple truth is, we should NOT be surprised. This issue is we need to tackle INFLATION, but it is the speed of rate hikes and the proposed terminal rates that are starting to […]

Where to start? My bottom line here is nothing new. Central Banks have crude, blunt tools that simply cannot effect the changes or improvements or reactions to issues that the markets believe that they should react to, or, in some instances fix. Central Bank mandates are basically PRICE STABILITY, the FED also has FULL EMPLOYMENT. […]

Two months completed this year. February was a strange month for me from a reading the markets perspective as a result I was suckered into a few trades that my conviction wasn’t 100% and I had for God only knows what reason FOMO. Nevertheless, I still managed a positive monthly performance, for which I am […]

Over the past couple of weeks, niggling issues have been eating away at my macro thoughts and my fundamental views. The main issue that I was contending with was, this belief in the markets that inflation was going fall fast and like magic, the economy, the job market, and the consumer would remain fundamentally robust […]

I decided for a change this week and write a short blog. Whilst the ZOOM option is less time demanding, my circumstances meant that I had time sitting around waiting away from my office at the end of last week and rather than read, I thought why not write, so PowerPoint and Trading View have […]

It does feel like the calm before the storm. This coming week we have the eagerly awaited US CPi data. Will it’s release finally end the battle between the markets and the FED. At the moment there are still those believing that the FED will be cutting interest rates towards the end of 2023. Despite […]

It’s been a long time since I have written the following “Jesus, Mary and Joseph and the wee Donkey”. I would say that there is plenty of head scratching going on this weekend. The FED, ECB and BOE left me with more questions than answers at the messages delivered were all three were conflicting, confusing […]

We have a big week on the horizon, and to be honest, I have been holding back on adding too many trades as I am seeking some clarification on several matters. FED, ECB and BOE: Where are we on the interest rate cycle? What are current thoughts vis-à-vis RECESSION? What are the current thoughts on […]

So far 2023 has not disappointed from a volatility perspective, which always leads into the discussion about the various types of volatility and is the type we are currently experiencing of the correct variant! With reference to specifics regarding volatility, at this point, I could quote Clark Gable from the movie Gone with the wind… “Frankly […]

US CPI did not disappoint. Whilst the print was in line with expectations the market reaction was its now customary response of wild volatility taking out both longs and shorts from the market. Of the USD majors, possibly the best example being the cable, which, took a 140 pip round way trip in very rapid […]

Great to be back from the holiday break and, I am raring to go. I basically observed last week’s action in the FX market. In past years I have been caught out with early year trading during times of low liquidity. I learned my lesson the hard way and I believe the phrase to use […]

My final presentation of 2022 is titled “CAN THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM WORK FOR YOU?” Basically, this presentation is aimed at serious FX traders, who are looking to broaden their perspectives, as well as those new to FX. When I first started trading FX, there was no “me” around to offer a different outlook or […]