I had collected so many notes over the past few weeks during my Easter break from trading, with numerous options of topics to note in this blog. However, most of these were shredded given last week’s events. I heard a great quote from BLOOMBERG via Anna Edwards; “There is always volatility in markets and then […]
THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM: REVIEW OF THE APRIL 2022 PERFORMANCE
This week is a shorter version of the blog, reflecting only on the WEEKLY FX PREMIUM April trading performance. For the vast majority (almost 75%) of April, I was on my spring break around the Easter holiday period which I use to re-charge the batteries ahead of the sprint towards the summer. To be honest, […]
WEEKLY FX PREMIUM REVIEW OF Q1 2022
There is no usual WEEKLY FX DRIVE THRU blog this week.As mentioned last week, I am taking a spring Easter break and my usual content for the DRIVE THRU will return on Sunday May 1st 2022. This week, however, I wanted to post some useful links etc., to recent updates that I have added to […]
THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM: REVIEW OF THE MARCH 2022 PERFORMANCE… including “AN UP RALLY IN A BEAR MOVE”
No one could have predicted what has just happened in Q1. Initially, we were fully engaged in Central Bank talk about how many hikes and when, observing the major banks and financial analysts trying to outdo each other with the most extreme number of rate increases and by what size. It was all quite amusing, […]
THE UNCERTAINTIES TAKING ROOT
The uncertainties for the markets to get to grips with continue, and what appears to be daily rotations out of bonds to equities to metals and to cryptos and all places back and in between again continue as different fund managers want a different mix in their portfolios for what lies ahead potentially. If only […]
GBP PUKES ON RATE HIKE
Well last week was eagerly anticipated. One of the questions being asked is did we get good value for the FED and BOE announcements. WTF is the answer to the question. Just one note here to give you a flavour on where I sit vis-à-vis the FED. This happy go lucky guy (above) FED Chair […]
PERCEPTION versus REALITY
Are you still managing to keep your head above water? If you are, without wanting to sound condescending… well done. It is difficult out there at the moment. Headline news driven markets are a pain to work inside. They are nothing more than yo-yo markets. FX is pushed and pulled, and inter-market correlations start to […]
THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM: REVIEW OF THE FEBRUARY 2022 PERFORMANCE… INCLUDING IN SEARCH OF THE TIPPING POINT
THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM: REVIEW OF THE FEBRUARY 2022 PERFORMANCE including IN SEARCH OF… THE TIPPING POINT For those traders who wanted volatility, is the type of volatility you wanted? Being primarily a fundamental trader, I have been asked quite a lot over the past two weeks about how does the current trading environment sit […]
MONEY before PEOPLE… $$$ before LIFE
I know, I should probably start with the effect of the RUSSIA invasion of UKRAINE on the markets but, that comes later. First …. The 80/20 rule. I think that most of us have heard about this, and it is applied to almost everything in life. You know what I mean – of 100% of […]
SOMETIMES DOING NOTHING IS THE RIGHT APPROACH
I started off this week writing that we could be held captive with a “Will they – Won’t they” feel, vis-à-vis the Ukraine crisis. I set up my mindset this way and so it was. I would call last week a bit of a lost week. Having said that, it was a difficult market to […]
BIDEN’S FINEST HOUR… TALK IS CHEAP
It is not often that I write opening comments like these but for me last week was a wasted week as far as trading was concerned. We had U.S. CPi data last Thursday. It was eagerly awaited data. Ahead of the news release, all analysts were very consistent with regards to the expected number. It […]
THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM: REVIEW OF THE JANUARY 2022 PERFORMANCE… INCLUDING BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR…
2022 is well underway and it is very noticeable that we now have some two-way trading opportunities back in play. Without doubt INFLATION has been a game changer for Central Bank leaders as they have come to grips with and manage what they so recently desperately wanted but could NOT get… now they have it […]
2022 WILL BE A YEAR OF TWO HALVES…
As it is often said to end a news programme or a TV debate of some sort, to sum up last week in the markets, I think it calls for a … “AND THAT WAS THAT!” We were up, we were down, we were swinging it all around, it was hard to keep […]