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CP10 – AUD/NZD:

AUD/NZD:

(CORE) POSITION TRADE
TRADE REFERENCE: CP10
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TRADE STARTED: 25th September 2019

EXPECTED TRADING PERIOD: Very Long Term (2/3 years and beyond)

DATE LATEST VIDEO UPDATE: 1st February 2022
VIDEO UPDATE LINK: CP10audnzd01052022

 

UPDATE 2022
DATE: 05.01.2022
CURRENCY PAIR: AUD/NZD
(CORE) POSITION TRADE: CP10
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG

 

TRADE OVERVIEW:

We are now heading upwards in a BULL CHANNEL at the moment; however, we are heading into resistance around 1.0700 / 1.0720 (Daily Chart).

My GLOBAL LIMITS are set at 1.1000 and then as far away at 1.2350.  This is a very long-term trade, and it is for me, nothing more than addressing this pair with patience.

My long-term limit sits at the 61.8% retracement from the March 2011 highs to the March 2020 Covid lows, which is 1.2350 (Monthly Chart). Right now, we are in a broad trading range from 0.9980 thru to the 38% retracement of the move just highlighted which sits at 1.1450.

 

INITIAL THOUGHTS:

I do NOT play trading ranges, but this pair might convert me!

I entered this pair with my eyes wide open based upon a report from the NAB about AUD and NZD fair values, which placed this pair substantially higher than current prices. Then came COVID-19... I am still very happy to hold and continue to BUY DIPS.

 

MACRO THOUGHTS:

I need to see the range broken at 1.1450. It is as simple as that otherwise we move sideways.

With one of my KEY DRIVERS in 2022 being commodities I expect AUD demand into H2 of this year to grow and it will NOT be until then in my opinion that we see this pair potentially move higher.

 

TRADE PLAN (HOW AM I GOING TRADE?):

BUY DIPS and accumulate through 2022 based off what I believe will be a demand for commodities and strengthening commodity currencies.

 

CP10-AUDNZD-D-050122

 

CP10-AUDNZD-M-050122

 

Q1 2022 UPDATE:

CP10-AUDUSD-W-Q1R22

We have tested the multi year trend line and failed on the first attempt.

In this review, I have tightened up my STOP LOSS level and brought my LIMIT closer to current pricing.

I still think and believe with conviction that higher prices with this pair are on the cards. We have key levels of 1.1000 and 1.1360 to pass first, then I feel we could squeeze a little higher towards the high teens and try to push for 1.2000.

This is an long, long-term trade.

01.05.2022 - CHART UPDATE from 5 Minute ZOOM:

AUDNZD-CP10-010522

 

PERFORMANCE TO DATE:
EXISTING LIVE and LIMIT ORDERS:CP10-AUDNZD1CP10-AUDNZD2
POS10

 

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FLASH, MOMENTUM, SWING, RADAR, FUNDAMENTAL, BREXIT, INVESTOR and POSITION (CORE POSITION) trade set-ups, “Tweets” and “Trade ideas” that are posted in my blogs or on Twitter are trades and set-ups that interest me. They are provided for training and informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as an offer, solicitation or recommendation of any specific security or investment strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading Forex carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade any such leveraged products you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin, and seek advice from an independent financial adviser if you have any doubts.

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