It’s been a long time since I have written the following “Jesus, Mary and Joseph and the wee Donkey”. I would say that there is plenty of head scratching going on this weekend. The FED, ECB and BOE left me with more questions than answers at the messages delivered were all three were conflicting, confusing and at times laughable as certain questions were swatted away without an attempt of a reasoned answer. Follow these announcements with a blowout NFP number of +517,000 jobs added to the … [Continue reading]
CENTRAL BANKERS LOOKING FOR “ATTABOYS”
We have a big week on the horizon, and to be honest, I have been holding back on adding too many trades as I am seeking some clarification on several matters. FED, ECB and BOE: Where are we on the interest rate cycle? What are current thoughts vis-à-vis RECESSION? What are the current thoughts on SECONDARY EFFECT INFLATION? US JOBS DATA: Trending status given the increasing level of Tech layoffs (This month will be too early for recent headlines) CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DATA: Are … [Continue reading]
U.S. RECESSION BACK ON THE AGENDA
So far 2023 has not disappointed from a volatility perspective, which always leads into the discussion about the various types of volatility and is the type we are currently experiencing of the correct variant! With reference to specifics regarding volatility, at this point, I could quote Clark Gable from the movie Gone with the wind... “Frankly I don’t give a damn”, however I prefer Bono in U2 360 referring to Adam Clayton (Bass Player) using the same quote in reference to the U2 set … [Continue reading]
HAS THE BOTTOM BEEN POSTED?
US CPI did not disappoint. Whilst the print was in line with expectations the market reaction was its now customary response of wild volatility taking out both longs and shorts from the market. Of the USD majors, possibly the best example being the … [Continue reading]
INFLATION (GET BEHIND THE NUMBERS)
Great to be back from the holiday break and, I am raring to go. I basically observed last week’s action in the FX market. In past years I have been caught out with early year trading during times of low liquidity. I learned my lesson the hard way … [Continue reading]
CAN THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM WORK FOR YOU?
My final presentation of 2022 is titled “CAN THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM WORK FOR YOU?” Basically, this presentation is aimed at serious FX traders, who are looking to broaden their perspectives, as well as those new to FX. When I first started trading … [Continue reading]
THE WEEKLY FX PREMIUM: REVIEW OF 2022 and my GOALS for 2023
2022 was a record breaker for the number of pips generated. It was also the second year running that all three of my KPi (Key Performance Indicators) were beaten (Pips generated, Pips per completed trade and Winning Trades / Losing Trades … [Continue reading]
“DOUBLE UP” SUBSCRIBER PROMOTION
As we head into the Christmas holiday and New Year break, whilst I am busy getting together the content for my year end “ZOOM’S”, it is also the time of year to launch a WEEKLY FX PREMIUM SUBSCRIBER PROMOTION. For those of you who want to see what I … [Continue reading]
THE DUCKS ARE LINING UP
As we head into what is really the final big week of trading this year, I find it really fascinating that we are at many inflection points vis-à-vis the economic data. Without doubt reducing OIL prices has started to filter into headline inflation … [Continue reading]
“APPETIZER DONE; NOW THE MAIN COURSE”
The weeks seem to be racing through. Next week we start the final round of the major Central Bank meetings and interest rate announcements. Last week we heard from FED chair Jerome Powell, who delivered what the market believed to be a more DOVISH … [Continue reading]
WHAT DOES POWELL THINK, WHAT WILL POWELL SAY?
Last week was a shortened week of trading plus, this weekend is also a long weekend for many of the bigger traders, so, as a result, we have seen a stunted FX market for quite a few days. Looking forward, we have a very busy week ahead for key … [Continue reading]
THE DOMINOES ARE LINING UP
Worsening and concerning Economic Data is starting to bubble up behind the voices of the Central Bank Governors, Presidents, and the ever so popular aligned spokespersons! From my perspective these pieces of data are individual dominoes forming an … [Continue reading]
WILL THE FED BEND THE KNEE?
What a week in the markets and it didn’t matter what market you trade inside. If you read or hear anyone stating that they knew in entirety what the market reaction would be to the lower US CPi number printer last Thursday, inhale (if possible) to … [Continue reading]
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